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The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on hybrid warfare: Case of Russia-Ukraine war

Muhammad Derfish Ilyas

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Abstract

The stimulus to carry out this research is to identify how Artificial Intelligence (AI) can impact hybrid warfare. Hybrid Warfare (HW) has become a popular yet controversial term in academic and military discourse. Its popularity lies mainly in capturing the form of struggle, which features a combination of new technologies and fanatic fighting styles by non-state actors, and later the 'covert' operations of state actors that use deniable or paramilitary forces and incremental tactics to achieve the political aim.

The research utilizes a hybrid warfare model proposed by Erik Reichborn-Kjennerud and Patrick Cullen, which is based on five instruments, which are military, political, economic, civil, and informational (MPECI) (Yan, 2020). It analyzes how artificial Intelligence is impacting these instruments in the Russia-Ukraine war.

The study reviewed the published literature in this context and extracted its findings in the context of the Russia-Ukraine war. Results will benefit the state and non-state actors of countries around the globe. Non-state actors includes NGO, financial institutions and other independent institutaitons. Findings will also help the international criminal justice system so they can identify how hybrid warfare techniques are used by the state and non-state actors.

Keywords:  Russia, Ukraine, War, Hybrid Warfare, Artificial Intelligence, AI